Like all rational people and lovers of truth I reject the hypothesis of Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming (CAGW); the belief that drives NASA, NOAA, the IPPC and the great, so-called "settled authoritative science consensus" that human caused global warming from fossil fuels is an existential threat to our society and to future life on planet Earth. That the continued massive use of these cheap, reliable, efficient, wealth creating fuels will eventually make this world so devastatingly hot that no living thing will be able to live upon it. Truth is, however, this horrific, infernal, life ending global holocaust will inevitably happen over time; but it will be an ACT OF GOD AND NATURE having nothing to do with man's activities and energy behavior (see section on heliogenic warming below).
200 years of progressive industrial capitalism and billions of tons of human CO2 emissions has been more than enough time to test this man caused climate doomsday hypothesis; and what do we see? A modest, non-threatening increase in global temperatures compared to past global warm periods going back 3100 years: Medieval, Roman and Minoan (see); and the miracle of ANTHROPOGENIC GLOBAL GREENING: the vast, amazing, rapid greening of the planet due to the fertilizing effects of human CO2 emissions.
Decades ago this CO2 induced greening was ridiculed as an impossible crackpot theory by "consensus scientists" who confidently predicted that the very opposite would be happening today: soaring, sizzling out of control temperatures, rainlessness, droughts, desertification and catastrophic crop destruction causing global famine, disease and the death of millions. And because, fortunately, the terrible future never arrived as authoritatively predicted, and now is now being pushed off to later dates (2030, 2050, 2100 take your pick) is it any wonder there's so much skepticism and doubt about CAGW? Repeated bad predictions a true science doesn't make.
If climate alarmists like Jim Hansen (back in the 1980s and early 90s) were right about the catastrophic warming impact of human CO2 emissions much of the Earth by now would look like the terrible picture on the left. But instead it's undergoing a huge, worldwide greening transformation as even NASA scientists grudgingly admit (see).
BEHOLD! THE WONDERFUL, BENEFICIAL IMPACT OF RUNAWAY ANTHROPOGENIC GREENHOUSE GLOBAL GREENING!
"You reject CAGW? Like a child who doesn't want to hear that it's bedtime? Well it's not up to you.
Multiple studies published in peer-reviewed scientific journalsshow that 97 percent or more of actively publishing climate scientists agree: Climate-warming trends over the past century are extremely likely due to human activities and are a very serious threat. In addition, most of the leading scientific organizations worldwide have issued public statements endorsing this position.
CO2 is not the only thing that can warm the Earth. In the distant past many things have proven they can become the main driver of temperature increases or decreases. But right now, the world body of climate scientists are quite certain, they say 'very likely' or 'extremely likely', which is 90-100% sure and 95-100% sure respectively that right now, and for the last 50 years CO2 took over as the main driver of temperature as was predicted long before that based on physics and simple calculations of how much CO2 we were producing and were expected to produce from burning fossil fuels."
Al Gore: 'Forget the other apocalyptic movements in history which proved misguided and false. Put your faith and trust in me. I'm the real deal. The doomsday prophet mankind has been waiting for to lead you to the holy land of a cooler, safer, climate stable, fossil fuel free world. Deny me and you get this:
You blindly, uncritically and religiously put your TRUST AND FAITH in a prophetic "consensus?" of improbable future doom with the fundamentalist certainty of a Jehovah Witness, and judge me as childish and immature? Like an apocalyptic END TIME fanatic your mind is so obsessed with catastrophism (a mental illness) that in a delusional sense it's a clear and present danger to you as if the apocalypse were unfolding before our very eyes. Like events in Israel and elsewhere used by someas signs of the "Countdown to Armageddon" every extreme weather event for you warmunists becomes an ominous sign prophetically anticipating "Climageddon" (global doom), if sinning humanity doesn't repent and stop using fossil fuels: the dirty, foul, destructive energy from hell extracted by greedy, satanic, world-be-damned oil companies for power, gain and huge bonuses for oil execs./sarc
Big Oil is your Great Beast of the Apocalypse; your infernal 666 anti-Christ condemning the Earth to hell fire, destruction and ruin. And Barack Obama, Al Gore, Michael Mann, Jim Hansen and other holy crusading eco-alarmist leaders are your God sent saviors hijacking science in a messianic cause based on conjecture, speculation and faith. You warmunists want to destroy industrial capitalism (see), and spend $trillions trying to save a world that's not in peril; and you call me childish?
After mankind has survived countless horrific wars, threats of nuclear holocaust, devastating plagues, earthquakes, tsunamis and other terrible disasters (that's killed hundreds and millions) now we're warned by a mastermind climate "consensus" of Nostradamus's that CO2, a tiny amount of essential, life sustaining greenhouse gas (plant food that supports ecosystems and the biosphere) is dooming mankind to perdition? Dooming us to greater frequency of droughts, floods, plagues and extreme weather events culminating in a horrific final apocalyptic extinction (that'll happen who knows when?) if we continue to make this parts per million trace gas fractionally larger? This is intellectual idiocy! And you call me childish?
What is the catastrophic AGW movement? It's a mindless politically driven ideological war against CAPITALISM and FOSSIL FUELS using fake dogmatic science, propaganda, fearmongering and lies about CO2's power over nature andwarming effects to end their massive use.
That such minuscule amounts of CO2 can have such large effects on climate more powerful than the sun, oceans and volcanoes combined is preposterous and defies sound science and common sense: A tub of warm water can't be blackened with a few drops of ink; then made boiling hot with a cup or two of scalding water. But you warmunists stand the laws of nature on their head: for you if CO2 becomes slightly more than .04% of a complex atmosphere it's warming effect will be amplified a hundred thousand fold triggering a runaway greenhouse effect violently heating the earth, making it uninhabitable like hellish Venus-where CO2 is 96% of the atmosphere. And you call me childish?
The burning surface of Venus. Only mad men and fools believe that an uptick in CO2 by hundreds or even thousands of parts per million can do this to our planet. In fact, there is no evidence of high levels of CO2 (up to 7000 ppm see) ever catastrophically overheating this world, and killing all of life. Not now, not ever.
Fact is, John, I use much more of my brain in thinking about fossil fuels, CO2 and climate change than you do; which makes me the adult in this conversation.
"The difference between science and religion is the difference between repeatable tests which validate a theory and a belief in something through faith which is unproven or even unprovable, reinforced by dogma.
NASA, NOAA, and the IPCC are scientific organizations that use the scientific method to arrive at their conclusions. Your failure to accept those conclusions [CAGW] does not show that science has failed, but that your scientific education has failed. Unless you are a trained scientist, you are on the wrong side of the argument of any scientific consensus conclusion if you do not accept the scientific consensus position."
Given the inconvenient truth that Earth's climate is a big, complex, dynamic system of many moving, variable known and unknown parts that interact unpredictably in known and unknown ways how then can climate doomsday scientists be "90-100% sure" of their extinction predictions? How can predictions and projections of future time be the equivalent of empirical observations? To treat the catastrophic future and the present here and now as the same, which many climate scientists and activists do by saying there's a "clear and present danger" of disaster, is absurd and unscientific!
What repeated tests can climatologists run to validate a theory of man caused global disaster from CO2? It can't be done. Detonate all our nukes and millions will die; but the human race will still survive (nuclear winter and all). And to raise the threat of CO2 to a level passing DEFCON 1 is insane. But that's what you lunatics do.
Indeed, how can climate scientists make accurate, long term predictions when there are too many variables and climate unknowns? When they have no way of knowing if human CO2 emissions can substantially heat the earth, or by how much and what degree? Climatology itself is a long, long ways from being a "settled science" Currently it's a hodge podge potpourri of conjecture, speculation and hypothesis; it doesn't rise to the level of a true settled science repeatedly making valid predictions like physics, chemistry, astronomy and meteorology.
The 18 yr 8 month global cooling trend (the so-called "pause") interrupted by a powerful warming El Nino. Now that El Nino has ended will the cooling trend resume despite 400 plus ppm of CO2 in the air? I'm betting it will.
Heck, "the consensus" which predicted a 21st century of soaring temperatures in the short and long run couldn't foresee the so-called " hiatus" or "pause" a few years down the road; this is when there was statistically no warming for just under 19 years until El Nino heated up the planet again. If "the consensus" was taken by surprise in their short-term predictions (on temperature, catastrophes, global greening, etc) think how much more difficult or impossible it is to make accurate predictions for the long tomorrow where so many surprises and outcomes are possible?
To put it another way, due to our very limited knowledge and understanding of El Ninos and La Ninas, ocean oscillations, ocean currents, volcanoes, natural cooling aerosols, tilt of the Earth's axis, plate tectonics, water vapor, methane, clouds, forest and grasslands, wind, sun spots, Milankovich and water cycles etc. how can accurate predictions and projections be made on the "disastrous warming effects" of human CO2, when it is just one factor in a big, complex, constantly changing system of rearranging combinations (see)?
Global cyclone energy is in decline despite global warming. How is that possible (see)?
Indeed, catastrophic AGW is an uncertain, subjective, pessimistic vision of things to come; a mental illness afflicting people in love with catastrophism, convinced without evidence that man is destroying himself with fossil fuels and CO2; and to believe with absolute, doubt free certainty that a future "extinction event" is INEVITABLE because of rising, human caused CO2 levels (whose buildup in the atmosphere isn't stopping), isn't rational, real, fact based science. It's an emotion driven ARTICLE OF FAITH; an INFALLIBLE ORTHODOX DOGMA akin to religious belief, and hysterical crackpot END TIME theologies-which at best have symbolic meaning for the real, inevitable, nature caused apocalypse to come.
Those who dogmatically promote this vision of future CO2 caused doom are either liars, charlatans and frauds mindlessly at war with fossil fuels and industrial civilization (which unstoppably grows and thrives lifting millions out of poverty); or they're useful gullible idiots and fools; poor souls needing a great global purpose and messianic cause to give their lives some grand, morally elevating significance and meaning; and what could be grander than saving collective humanity and planet Earth from destruction (though neither are in peril from human causes)?
The scientific evidence from reconstructing Earth's climate going back millions of years is overwhelming and conclusive (see): there is absolutely no correlation between high levels of atmospheric CO2 and global temperatures. The above chart shows that around 445 million years ago (the Upper or Late Ordovician Period) the CO2 count in the atmosphere was 4000 plus ppm (10-12 times what it is today), and the Earth was in a period of frigid ice age glaciation with average global temps at 10 degrees C (50 degrees F); in other words, it wasn't scorching, blistering, life destroying hot as we are told will happen in future time by the all wise, all knowing, "settled science consensus" if the atmospheric ppm count goes to just 450-500 or more.
And contrariwise, climate reconstructions for the Middle Ages when the CO2 count was at 280 ppm (120 ppm or 40% lower than today) show warmer global temperatures by 1 to 2 degrees C than today (see). In fact, California, which just ended five years of drought, experienced two devastating megadroughts during the Middle Ages of 240 and 180 years each - with sweltering local temperatures higher by 3 degrees F than today (see and see). How was that possible with way less heat trapping CO2 in the atmosphere?
In short, despite the billions of tons of CO2 industrial man has emitted since the late 18th century there's nothing unusual, abnormal or anomalous about modern global warming when compared to its medieval counterpart - or even going back two or three thousand years to Roman and Minoan times. In other words, what caused the higher temperatures and worst droughts in medieval California was a greater and more extreme threat to human society and the world than anthropogenic CO2, as temperatures now are milder. But if not CO2 then what was the cause of the higher preindustrial age temperatures?
Putting the question another way, if 444 million years ago a super high CO2 count coexisted with frigid global temperatures, and during the Minoan, Roman and Middle Ages (see, see and see) a lower CO2 count than today coexisted with warmer global temps then what was it that caused these extreme differences? The answer is provided I believe by Nir Shaviv a distinguished professor of astrophysics and climatology at Hebrew University in Jerusalem.
Building on the work of other scientists going back to 18th century astronomer William Hershel Prof. Shaviv discovered that SOLAR ACTIVITY (variations in the sun's heat and energy output) and COSMIC RAYS (the presence or absence of its high energy radiation ionizing or not ionizing the atmosphere) are the two major forces driving climate change; this is proved by the correlation of both forces (as shown by the good professor in the video below) with cycles of global warming, cooling and sea level changes throughout Earth's geologic history.
Moreover, as Prof. Shaviv points out, both natural forces (SA and CR) are unscientifically excluded or minimized from IPCC and other mainstream warmunist scienceclimate models. Why the omission? Because when added they forecast a modest, unfrightening, noncataclysmic rise in global temps of 1 degree C or less over the next 100 years. IPCC claims that a 2 degree rise could be dangerous; and that if man doesn't drastically cut CO2 emissions, temperatures over the next 100 years could increase 1.5 to 4.5 degrees C. In other words, more precise, honest scientific climate modeling is useless for the purpose of alarming people; it undermines long term doomsday CAGW predictions exposing them as fraudulent, fake science akin to the end time dogmatic religious movements.
This chart shows a correlation of sunspot numbers to the rise and fall of global temperatures.
Skeptics, deniers and doubters opposing the refuted, deceptive CAGW hypothesis speak TRUTH TO POWER (and are branded criminal sinners and infidels): Earth's climate is measurably changing for the better as it grows moderately warmer, greener and more fruitful; and 200 years of industrial, technological and economic PROGRESS continue to make Earth a better place for humankind. And in the meantime human genius and ingenuity are developing the means to move us off this planet and into deep space to populate distant worlds out of existential necessity. It's no accident we're in the SPACE AGE. For one day the blazing nuclear furnace at the center of our planetary system called the SUN will unleash all hell upon this Earth wiping out human, animal and plant life in a devastating holocaust.
Global cyclone energy is in decline despite global warming. How is that possible (see)?
And that brings me to the title of this blog. In truth, the only valid, provable science of catastrophic, cataclysmic world dooming global warming is HELIOGENIC (Sun caused) not ANTHROPOGENIC (man caused). Astrophysicists like Nir Shaviv tell us that the power of the Sun over Earth's climate is such that a sudden, slight variation in its heat and energy output could heat or freeze this world in devastating ways. And what is certain from the observation of greatly aged stars across the universe is that when the Sun enters its dying phase it will collapse into a RED GIANT, expand its scorching radius by 200x and turn the Earth's surface into a desolate burning hell world like lifeless, scorched, blistering Venus.
The life and death of this world is in the hands of the central, sovereign, violently hot, infernal SUN, not mankind. And because man's existence on this planet is limited by the Sun's life and death cycle this is the God's honest truth:
SPACE IS DESTINY
IT MUST BE CONQUERED
ON IT DEPENDS OUR SURVIVAL
THE SUN IS A MORTAL STAR
THE EARTH A PERISHABLE SPHERE
AND MAN A TEMPORARY EARTHLING
THE RESUMPTION OF THE PAUSE?
Earlier this evening our friend X-Man posted the following comment: "Apollo, you were right! The "PAUSE" is alive and well and continuing. The satellite data is in: the surface global cooling trend that started in the late 1990s and was interrupted by El Nino has resumed."